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Moreirense
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Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Braga
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Carvalho (53')
Horta (70'), Carvalho (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendes (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Braga
Saturday, December 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, December 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Both these sides' league forms have been very similar this season, and we are likely to see a level match unfold here. Braga's home form and scoring record has been excellent this season, though, which is why we feel that they may just edge this one by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.71%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
54.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 22.29% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.99% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.4% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (0.204 0.2)40.93% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (0.207 0.21)63.32% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (0.070000000000007 0.07)14.91% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.71% (0.13500000000001 0.14)43.29% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.143 0.14)31.36% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27% (0.165 0.16)67.73% (-0.16600000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Braga 54.71%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.99%
    Draw 22.29%
BragaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.061000000000002 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 22.99%

How you voted: Braga vs Guimaraes

Braga
81.4%
Draw
14.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
4.7%
43
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 22
Guimaraes
2-1
Braga
Silva (31' pen.), Safira (41')
Djalo (88')
Jan 11, 2023 6.45pm
Round of 16
Braga
3-2
Guimaraes
Ruiz (80', 85'), Oliveira (83')
Silva (16'), Silva (45+6')
Sep 3, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Braga
1-0
Guimaraes
Tormena (90+8')
Elmusrati (45+1'), Silva (90+1')

Amaro (2'), Freitas (18'), Fernandes (23'), Varela (59'), Lameiras (90+1'), Silva (90+1'), Safira (90+6')
Feb 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Guimaraes
2-1
Braga
Estupinan (18'), Luz (90')
Silva (3'), Estupinan (29'), Handel (43'), Fernandes (45')
Semedo (58')
Oliveira (48')
Rodrigues (20')
Aug 29, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Braga
0-0
Guimaraes
Silva (32'), Elmusrati (37')
Almeida (24'), Rochinha (27'), Soares (52'), Trmal (85'), Mumin (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1411213482635
3Porto1411123392434
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8Casa Pia155551618-220
9FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS142661122-1112
14Nacional14338819-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca153210926-1711
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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