MX23RW : Monday, January 20 20:51:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Braga
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Carvalho (53')
Horta (70'), Carvalho (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendes (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Braga
Saturday, December 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, December 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Both these sides' league forms have been very similar this season, and we are likely to see a level match unfold here. Braga's home form and scoring record has been excellent this season, though, which is why we feel that they may just edge this one by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.71%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
54.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 22.29% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.99% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.4% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (0.204 0.2)40.93% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (0.207 0.21)63.32% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (0.070000000000007 0.07)14.91% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.71% (0.13500000000001 0.14)43.29% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.143 0.14)31.36% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27% (0.165 0.16)67.73% (-0.16600000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Braga 54.71%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.99%
    Draw 22.29%
BragaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.061000000000002 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 22.99%

How you voted: Braga vs Guimaraes

Braga
81.4%
Draw
14.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
4.7%
43
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 22
Guimaraes
2-1
Braga
Silva (31' pen.), Safira (41')
Djalo (88')
Jan 11, 2023 6.45pm
Round of 16
Braga
3-2
Guimaraes
Ruiz (80', 85'), Oliveira (83')
Silva (16'), Silva (45+6')
Sep 3, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Braga
1-0
Guimaraes
Tormena (90+8')
Elmusrati (45+1'), Silva (90+1')

Amaro (2'), Freitas (18'), Fernandes (23'), Varela (59'), Lameiras (90+1'), Silva (90+1'), Safira (90+6')
Feb 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Guimaraes
2-1
Braga
Estupinan (18'), Luz (90')
Silva (3'), Estupinan (29'), Handel (43'), Fernandes (45')
Semedo (58')
Oliveira (48')
Rodrigues (20')
Aug 29, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Braga
0-0
Guimaraes
Silva (32'), Elmusrati (37')
Almeida (24'), Rochinha (27'), Soares (52'), Trmal (85'), Mumin (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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