Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Famalicao0 - 3Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Famalicao
Saturday, November 25 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Saturday, November 25 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Porto
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Famalicao 1-2 Porto
Porto have an excellent record against this opponent and also have the added incentive of moving into pole position in the league standings overnight if they can claim all three points in this one. The hosts will certainly not be a pushover, but we feel the Dragons will outscore them by the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
27.35% ( 0.83) | 24.73% ( -0.24) | 47.92% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( 1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
