Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Moreirense2 - 2Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Nacional |
| 39.87% | 28.1% | 32.03% |
| Both teams to score 46.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.94% | 59.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.49% | 79.51% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% | 28.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.18% | 64.82% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% | 33.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.39% | 70.61% |
| Score Analysis |
Moreirense 39.86%
Nacional 32.03%
Draw 28.1%
| Moreirense | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.65% Total : 39.86% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.03% |
How you voted: Moreirense vs Nacional
Moreirense
79.2%Draw
18.8%Nacional
2.1%48
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2018 4pm
Apr 17, 2017 8pm
Dec 4, 2016 4pm
Form Guide
