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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 18, 2023 at 9am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
2 - 0
Spartak Moscow

Kavalyow (17'), Vorobyev (23')
Vorobyev (4'), Sivakov (39'), Sysuev (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zinkovskiy (37'), Sobolev (45+5'), Litvinov (55')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Sochi 0-4 Orenburg
Friday, March 10 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-2 Fakel
Saturday, March 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawSpartak Moscow
24.81% (-1.569 -1.57) 23.27% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1) 51.93% (1.671 1.67)
Both teams to score 57.24% (-1.245 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (-0.928 -0.93)43.47% (0.931 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (-0.919 -0.92)65.86% (0.922 0.92)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-1.724 -1.72)31.22% (1.726 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-2.055 -2.06)67.57% (2.057 2.06)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (0.268 0.27)16.78% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (0.476 0.48)46.73% (-0.474 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 24.81%
    Spartak Moscow 51.93%
    Draw 23.26%
OrenburgDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.294 -0.29)
1-0 @ 6.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.81%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.456 0.46)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.477 0.48)
1-3 @ 5.78% (0.114 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.97% (0.325 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.58% (0.073 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.164 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.93%

Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 3.30pm
Spartak Moscow
4-1
Orenburg
Martins Pereira (2'), Sobolev (12'), Promes (38', 90+4')
Khlusevich (80')
Basic (55')
Sivakov (21'), Oganesyan (61'), Ektov (87'), Khotulev (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 11am
Orenburg
1-3
Spartak Moscow
Fameyeh (17')
Terekhov (45'), Miskic (56')
Ponce (44'), Larsson (71'), Mirzov (90')
Maslov (29'), Markitesov (45'), Lucas (90')
Sep 29, 2019 2.30pm
Spartak Moscow
1-2
Orenburg
Melgarejo (65')
Kutepov (6'), Bakaev (93')
Malykh (45'), Despotovic (63')
Terekhov (21'), Miskic (33')
Miskic (71')
May 26, 2019 12pm
Orenburg
2-0
Spartak Moscow
Alves (8'), Kulishev (94')
Popovic (11'), Despotovic (12'), Malykh (78'), Dovbnya (90'), Kulishev (95')

Guliev (27'), Melgarejo (78')
May 25, 2019
1am
Orenburg  
vs.
  Spartak Moscow
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CZenit St PetersburgZenit30176752272557
2FC KrasnodarKrasnodar30168645291656
3Dynamo Moscow30168653391456
4Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv301411552381453
5Spartak Moscow3014884132950
6CSKA MoscowCSKA301212656401648
7RostovRostov30127114346-343
8Rubin Kazan30119103138-742
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov30118114644241
10Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny30105153345-1235
11Fakel30711122231-932
12OrenburgOrenburg30710133441-731
13Ural YekaterinburgUral3079143046-1630
14Nizhny Novgorod3086162951-2230
RBaltika3075183342-926
RSochi3059163748-1124
> Russian Premier League Full Table


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