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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 18, 2023 at 9am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
2 - 0
Spartak Moscow

Kavalyow (17'), Vorobyev (23')
Vorobyev (4'), Sivakov (39'), Sysuev (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zinkovskiy (37'), Sobolev (45+5'), Litvinov (55')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sochi 0-4 Orenburg
Friday, March 10 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-2 Fakel
Saturday, March 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawSpartak Moscow
24.81% (-1.569 -1.57) 23.27% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1) 51.93% (1.671 1.67)
Both teams to score 57.24% (-1.245 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (-0.928 -0.93)43.47% (0.931 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (-0.919 -0.92)65.86% (0.922 0.92)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-1.724 -1.72)31.22% (1.726 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-2.055 -2.06)67.57% (2.057 2.06)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (0.268 0.27)16.78% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (0.476 0.48)46.73% (-0.474 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 24.81%
    Spartak Moscow 51.93%
    Draw 23.26%
OrenburgDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.294 -0.29)
1-0 @ 6.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.81%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.456 0.46)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.477 0.48)
1-3 @ 5.78% (0.114 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.97% (0.325 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.58% (0.073 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.164 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.93%

Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 3.30pm
Spartak Moscow
4-1
Orenburg
Martins Pereira (2'), Sobolev (12'), Promes (38', 90+4')
Khlusevich (80')
Basic (55')
Sivakov (21'), Oganesyan (61'), Ektov (87'), Khotulev (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 11am
Orenburg
1-3
Spartak Moscow
Fameyeh (17')
Terekhov (45'), Miskic (56')
Ponce (44'), Larsson (71'), Mirzov (90')
Maslov (29'), Markitesov (45'), Lucas (90')
Sep 29, 2019 2.30pm
Spartak Moscow
1-2
Orenburg
Melgarejo (65')
Kutepov (6'), Bakaev (93')
Malykh (45'), Despotovic (63')
Terekhov (21'), Miskic (33')
Miskic (71')
May 26, 2019 12pm
Orenburg
2-0
Spartak Moscow
Alves (8'), Kulishev (94')
Popovic (11'), Despotovic (12'), Malykh (78'), Dovbnya (90'), Kulishev (95')

Guliev (27'), Melgarejo (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Zenit St PetersburgZenit1612313472739
2FC KrasnodarKrasnodar1611503492538
3Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv1611143223934
4Spartak Moscow1694330141631
5Dynamo Moscow1694332181431
6CSKA MoscowCSKA1683525121327
7Rubin Kazan166462022-222
8RostovRostov165562227-520
9Akron TolyattiAkron164481933-1416
10Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov164391524-915
11Dynamo MakhachkalaMakhachkala15366914-515
12Nizhny Novgorod154381527-1215
13KhimkiKhimki162771830-1213
14Fakel162771124-1313
15Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny161691431-179
16OrenburgOrenburg1615101631-158


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