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Scottish Championship Playoffs | Final | 2nd Leg
May 20, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
TBC
Airdrieonians

Hamilton
2 - 1
Airdrieonians

Smith (23'), Tiehi (80')
Tumilty (76'), Martin (106'), Smith (120+2')
FT
(aet)
McGill (90+1')
McGill (34')
Airdrieonians win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Championship Playoffs clash between Hamilton Academical and Airdrieonians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 Hamilton
Wednesday, May 17 at 7.35pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 Hamilton
Wednesday, May 17 at 7.35pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

We say: Hamilton Academical 1-1 Airdrieonians (Airdrieonians to win 2-1 on aggregate)

 With home advantage in their favour, Hamilton will expect to turn things around against their lower-tier opponents. However, the visitors have something to defend, and we are backing Airdrieonians to do what is necessary to earn promotion to the Scottish Championship. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%).

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAirdrieonians
34.72% (-4.754 -4.75) 25.05% (0.251 0.25) 40.23% (4.504 4.5)
Both teams to score 57.31% (-1.065 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.87% (-1.307 -1.31)46.13% (1.308 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (-1.246 -1.25)68.42% (1.247 1.25)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (-3.16 -3.16)25.77% (3.163 3.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (-4.491 -4.49)60.71% (4.49 4.49)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (1.777 1.78)22.8% (-1.777 -1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.49% (2.562 2.56)56.51% (-2.561 -2.56)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 34.72%
    Airdrieonians 40.23%
    Draw 25.04%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAirdrieonians
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.634 -0.63)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.295 -0.29)
2-0 @ 5.4% (-0.74 -0.74)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.663 -0.66)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.329 -0.33)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.603 -0.6)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.365 -0.37)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.319 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.571 0.57)
0-1 @ 8.69% (0.889 0.89)
0-2 @ 6.42% (0.95 0.95)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.486 0.49)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.605 0.61)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.251 0.25)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.271 0.27)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.23%

How you voted: Hamilton vs Airdrieonians

Hamilton Academical
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Airdrieonians
14.3%
7
Head to Head
May 17, 2023 7.35pm
Final 1st Leg
Airdrieonians
1-0
Hamilton
Smith (56')
Smith (52'), Ballantyne (68'), Watson (86')
Watson (90+2')

Smith (43'), Shiels (72'), McGowan (90+4')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Group Stage
Airdrieonians
2-3
Hamilton
Smith (10'), Roy (24')
Cowan (21'), Gallagher (60')
Cunningham (48' pen., 60'), Ogboe (89')
MacKinnon (30'), McGowan (53'), Cunningham (85')
> Match Report
Jul 28, 2018 3pm
Group Stage
Hamilton
1-1
Airdrieonians
 Hamilton win 3-0 on penalties
Bingham (62')
Pereira (83')
Duffy (55'), O'Neil (61')
rhs 2.0
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