Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Raith Rovers |
67.89% ( 0.15) | 18.4% ( 0.06) | 13.71% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 53.65% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.57% ( -0.79) | 38.43% ( 0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.28% ( -0.84) | 60.72% ( 0.84) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.63% ( -0.18) | 10.37% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.13% ( -0.41) | 33.87% ( 0.41) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.86% ( -0.8) | 40.14% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.22% ( -0.74) | 76.78% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Raith Rovers |
2-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.59% Total : 67.89% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.4% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.69% Total : 13.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |