Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
28.68% | 25.47% | 45.85% |
Both teams to score 53.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.85% | 50.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.88% | 72.12% |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.26% | 31.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.83% | 68.17% |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.13% | 21.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.9% | 55.1% |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 6.95% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.68% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-2 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 4.66% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |