Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Hamilton Academical has a probability of 33.38% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win is 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.02%).
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
33.38% ( 0.29) | 24% ( 0.02) | 42.62% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 60.69% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.44% ( -0.02) | 41.56% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.04% ( -0.02) | 63.96% ( 0.02) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.61% ( 0.16) | 24.38% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.2% ( 0.22) | 58.79% ( -0.22) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.26% ( -0.15) | 19.73% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.24% ( -0.24) | 51.76% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.38% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 42.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 46 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Livingston | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 42 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 26 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 24 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 21 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 9 |
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