Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Ayr United has a probability of 31.23% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Ayr United win is 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.64%).
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
42.17% ( 0.13) | 26.6% ( -0.18) | 31.23% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.13% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.37% ( 0.71) | 53.63% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.87% ( 0.6) | 75.13% ( -0.61) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.85% ( 0.39) | 25.15% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.13% ( 0.54) | 59.87% ( -0.54) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.31% ( 0.4) | 31.69% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.89% ( 0.46) | 68.11% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 42 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 38 |
3 | Livingston | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 36 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 24 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 23 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 21 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 19 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 19 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |