Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
50.27% ( 0.75) | 22.99% ( -0.2) | 26.73% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 60.11% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.47% ( 0.46) | 40.52% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.09% ( 0.48) | 62.9% ( -0.48) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.7% ( 0.44) | 16.29% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.14% ( 0.8) | 45.85% ( -0.8) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.82% ( -0.16) | 28.18% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.13% ( -0.21) | 63.86% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.27% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.62% Total : 26.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |