Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
22.7% ( -0.26) | 24.44% ( 0.03) | 52.86% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.47% ( -0.38) | 50.53% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.55% ( -0.34) | 72.45% ( 0.34) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.05% ( -0.45) | 36.95% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.26% ( -0.45) | 73.74% ( 0.46) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.93% ( -0.05) | 19.07% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.33% ( -0.09) | 50.67% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 22.7% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 52.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |