Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.