Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Cove Rangers |
40.88% ( 0.33) | 24.33% ( -0.11) | 34.79% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 59.9% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.23% ( 0.49) | 42.76% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.83% ( 0.49) | 65.16% ( -0.49) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% ( 0.37) | 21.03% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.17% ( 0.57) | 53.82% ( -0.57) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.85% ( 0.11) | 24.14% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.54% ( 0.15) | 58.46% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Cove Rangers |
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |