Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
45.93% ( 0.03) | 23.06% ( 0.01) | 31.01% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 63.06% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62% ( -0.1) | 38% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.74% ( -0.11) | 60.26% ( 0.11) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.05% ( -0.03) | 16.95% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.97% ( -0.05) | 47.03% ( 0.04) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% ( -0.08) | 24.06% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% ( -0.11) | 58.34% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 4.24% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |