Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.26%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.03%) and 0-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
9.25% ( -0.3) | 15.5% ( -0.25) | 75.26% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 48.55% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.86% ( 0.22) | 37.14% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.66% ( 0.23) | 59.34% ( -0.23) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.95% ( -0.48) | 47.05% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.48% ( -0.37) | 82.52% ( 0.37) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.69% ( 0.18) | 8.32% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71% ( 0.44) | 29% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
1-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 9.25% | 1-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.81% Total : 15.5% | 0-2 @ 12.1% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 10.03% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 6.24% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 3.1% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 1-6 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.45% Total : 75.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |