Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
St Mirren0 - 2Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rangers 5-2 St Mirren
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-4 Celtic
Sunday, April 16 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, April 16 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: St Mirren 2-1 Kilmarnock
The previous two meetings between the two sides this season have finished in goalless draws, but we think that the hosts will claim a narrow victory over a Kilmarnock side who have lost 14 of their 16 away league games this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
44.82% ( -0.08) | 26.53% ( 0.02) | 28.65% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.06% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
