Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Motherwell in this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
49.75% ( -0.03) | 23.53% ( -0) | 26.72% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.99% ( 0.03) | 43.01% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.59% ( 0.03) | 65.41% ( -0.03) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.59% ( -0) | 17.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.15% ( -0) | 47.84% ( -0) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( 0.04) | 29.49% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( 0.05) | 65.5% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.75% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 26.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |