Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Motherwell in this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
49.75% ( -0.03) | 23.53% ( -0) | 26.72% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.99% ( 0.03) | 43.01% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.59% ( 0.03) | 65.41% ( -0.03) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.59% ( -0) | 17.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.15% ( -0) | 47.84% ( -0) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( 0.04) | 29.49% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( 0.05) | 65.5% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.75% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 26.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |