Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almeria in this match.