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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Milan logo

Hellas Verona
0 - 1
AC Milan


Dawidowicz (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reijnders (56')
Emerson (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 2-3 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 0-2 AC Milan

Milan's away record alone would see them occupying a place in the bottom half of the table, but their short trip to Verona should still end with a much-needed win. Conceding goals at a rate nearing three per game at Stadio Bentegodi, the hosts simply cannot keep their back door shut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.88% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.17%) and 0-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 2-1 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
20.88% (0.162 0.16) 20.62%58.5% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 61.3% (0.266 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.26% (0.232 0.23)35.73% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.19% (0.256 0.26)57.8% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (0.282 0.28)30.3% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.52% (0.338 0.34)66.47% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.95% (0.019999999999996 0.02)12.05% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.45% (0.055999999999997 0.06)37.54% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 20.88%
    AC Milan 58.5%
    Draw 20.62%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 5.51% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 4.36% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 20.88%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 9.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 6.89% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 5.77% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 3.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 58.5%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Hellas Verona
13.1%
Draw
10.7%
AC Milan
76.2%
122
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 29
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Noslin (64')
Serdar (6'), Baroni (7')
Hernandez (44'), Pulisic (50'), Chukwueze (79')
Tomori (30'), Hernandez (45'), Reijnders (87')
Sep 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
1-0
Hellas Verona
Leao (8')
Thiaw (24'), Musah (58'), Pioli (69+69'), Pulisic (76'), Florenzi (89')

Faraoni (42'), Bonazzoli (55')
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
AC Milan
3-1
Hellas Verona
Giroud (45+2' pen.), Leao (85', 90+2')
Hernandez (89')
Faraoni (72')
Magnani (49'), Sulemana (60'), Cabal (62'), Depaoli (77')
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hellas Verona
1-2
AC Milan
Gunter (19')
Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese207582328-526
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
14Empoli214892028-820
15Parma214892636-1020
16Lecce2155111536-2120
17Como204792233-1119
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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