Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Hellas Verona0 - 1AC Milan
We said: Hellas Verona 0-2 AC Milan
Milan's away record alone would see them occupying a place in the bottom half of the table, but their short trip to Verona should still end with a much-needed win. Conceding goals at a rate nearing three per game at Stadio Bentegodi, the hosts simply cannot keep their back door shut. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.88% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.17%) and 0-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 2-1 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
20.88% ( 0.16) | 20.62% | 58.5% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 61.3% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
