Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Hellas Verona |
61.7% ( 0.68) | 22.02% ( 0.06) | 16.28% ( -0.75) |
Both teams to score 47.91% ( -1.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.72% ( -1.51) | 49.28% ( 1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.66% ( -1.38) | 71.34% ( 1.37) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.54% ( -0.29) | 15.46% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.67% ( -0.54) | 44.33% ( 0.53) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.67% ( -1.85) | 43.33% ( 1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.44% ( -1.59) | 79.56% ( 1.58) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.64) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 61.69% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |