Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
47.67% ( 1.22) | 25.3% ( -0.02) | 27.03% ( -1.2) |
Both teams to score 52.69% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.57% ( -0.66) | 50.43% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.64% ( -0.59) | 72.36% ( 0.59) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.83% ( 0.26) | 21.17% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.96% ( 0.4) | 54.04% ( -0.4) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.84% ( -1.27) | 33.15% ( 1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.24% ( -1.43) | 69.75% ( 1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.45% Total : 27.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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