Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
47.67% ( 1.22) | 25.3% ( -0.02) | 27.03% ( -1.2) |
Both teams to score 52.69% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.57% ( -0.66) | 50.43% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.64% ( -0.59) | 72.36% ( 0.59) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.83% ( 0.26) | 21.17% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.96% ( 0.4) | 54.04% ( -0.4) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.84% ( -1.27) | 33.15% ( 1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.24% ( -1.43) | 69.75% ( 1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.45% Total : 27.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
8 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |