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Serie A
Bologna logo
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
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Bologna
1 - 0
Lecce

Orsolini (85')
Urbanski (66'), Ndoye (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pelmard (71'), Gaspar (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Bologna
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Hellas Verona
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-0 Lecce

 Finally, the Dall'Ara faithful will be treated to a home victory, as Bologna must surely put away a Lecce side lacking punch and prone to conceding plenty of goals. That combination means that the Salentini are facing a long season of struggle, even if they do have some talented individuals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.

Result
BolognaDrawLecce
61.63% (-0.325 -0.33) 22.94% (0.392 0.39) 15.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 43.54% (-1.214 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8% (-1.564 -1.56)54.2% (1.562 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.39% (-1.324 -1.32)75.6% (1.321 1.32)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (-0.667 -0.67)17.19% (0.665 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-1.184 -1.18)47.45% (1.182 1.18)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.58% (-1.035 -1.04)47.42% (1.032 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.2% (-0.783 -0.78)82.8% (0.78100000000001 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 61.63%
    Lecce 15.43%
    Draw 22.93%
BolognaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 14.35% (0.56 0.56)
2-0 @ 12.63% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 7.42% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.135 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 61.63%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.486 0.49)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.93%
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.193 0.19)
1-2 @ 4% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.27% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 15.43%

How you voted: Bologna vs Lecce

Bologna
83.5%
Draw
12.7%
Lecce
3.8%
79
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 24
Bologna
4-0
Lecce
Beukema (5'), Orsolini (27', 49'), Odgaard (82')
Calafiori (34')

D'Aversa (35'), Almqvist (41'), Oudin (74')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 14
Lecce
1-1
Bologna
Piccoli (90+10' pen.)
Ramadani (45'), Pongracic (84'), Sansone (89')
Lykogiannis (68')
Saelemaekers (50'), Calafiori (90+8')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')
Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Lecce
Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')
> Preview
Jul 26, 2020 4.15pm
Gameweek 36
Bologna
3-2
Lecce
Palacio (2'), Soriano (5'), Barrow (90+3')
Palacio (43')
Mancosu (45+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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