Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli1 - 0Salernitana
We said: Empoli 0-0 Salernitana
Despite there having been 28 goals across the last seven head-to-heads, neither side has shown much offensive threat in the early stage of the season. Salernitana have not won here in Empoli in the 21st century though, and even though hosts sit bottom, they will expect to take at least something from this encounter, if only a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Salernitana |
35.93% ( -2.97) | 26.44% ( -0.24) | 37.62% ( 3.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
