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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Empoli logo

Spezia
1 - 0
Empoli

N'Zola (36')
Gyasi (4'), Reca (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Henderson (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 5-1 Como
Saturday, August 6 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 SPAL
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Spezia 2-2 Empoli

Both sides have been in good goalscoring form over the past few weeks, and now the Serie A season kicks off, they can carry such potency into the opening day. As neither team is secure defensively, expect several goals in an eventful draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawEmpoli
43.19% (0.080000000000005 0.08) 26.34% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 30.47% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.62% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (0.087000000000003 0.09)52.85% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54% (0.073 0.07)74.46% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.079000000000008 0.08)24.28% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (0.11 0.11)58.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 43.18%
    Empoli 30.47%
    Draw 26.34%
SpeziaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.47%

How you voted: Spezia vs Empoli

Spezia
42.1%
Draw
36.8%
Empoli
21.1%
57
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 2pm
Dec 19, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Marchizza (50' og.)
Maggiore (21'), Amian (88'), Kovalenko (90')
Nikolaou (71' og.)
Tonelli (38'), Bandinelli (60')
Jun 19, 2020 4.30pm
Spezia
1-0
Empoli
Ragusa (72')
Bartolomei (90+1')

Balkovec (43')
Oct 29, 2019 8pm
Empoli
1-1
Spezia
Frattesi (71')
Dezi (50'), Laribi (89')
Bidaoui (56')
Bartolomei (23'), Ferrer (47'), Capradossi (75'), Terzi (76'), Ricci (84')
Apr 7, 2018 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Lopez (16')
Piu (72')
Krunic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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