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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Empoli logo

Spezia
1 - 0
Empoli

N'Zola (36')
Gyasi (4'), Reca (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Henderson (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 5-1 Como
Saturday, August 6 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 SPAL
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Spezia 2-2 Empoli

Both sides have been in good goalscoring form over the past few weeks, and now the Serie A season kicks off, they can carry such potency into the opening day. As neither team is secure defensively, expect several goals in an eventful draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawEmpoli
43.19% (0.080000000000005 0.08) 26.34% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 30.47% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.62% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (0.087000000000003 0.09)52.85% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54% (0.073 0.07)74.46% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.079000000000008 0.08)24.28% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (0.11 0.11)58.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 43.18%
    Empoli 30.47%
    Draw 26.34%
SpeziaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.47%

How you voted: Spezia vs Empoli

Spezia
42.1%
Draw
36.8%
Empoli
21.1%
57
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 2pm
Dec 19, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Marchizza (50' og.)
Maggiore (21'), Amian (88'), Kovalenko (90')
Nikolaou (71' og.)
Tonelli (38'), Bandinelli (60')
Jun 19, 2020 4.30pm
Spezia
1-0
Empoli
Ragusa (72')
Bartolomei (90+1')

Balkovec (43')
Oct 29, 2019 8pm
Empoli
1-1
Spezia
Frattesi (71')
Dezi (50'), Laribi (89')
Bidaoui (56')
Bartolomei (23'), Ferrer (47'), Capradossi (75'), Terzi (76'), Ricci (84')
Apr 7, 2018 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Lopez (16')
Piu (72')
Krunic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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