Parma

3 - 1

Lazio

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.