Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Napoli | 37 | 40 | 76 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 22 | 70 |
5 | Lazio | 37 | 19 | 63 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Sampdoria | 37 | -14 | 36 |
16 | Spezia | 37 | -27 | 36 |
17 | Salernitana | 37 | -41 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 79.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Spezia |
79.07% | 13.57% | 7.36% |
Both teams to score 46.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.48% | 34.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.54% | 56.46% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.08% | 6.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.6% | 25.4% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.39% | 49.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.62% | 84.38% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 12.24% 3-0 @ 10.9% 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 7.65% 4-0 @ 7.28% 4-1 @ 5.11% 5-0 @ 3.89% 5-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 1.79% 6-0 @ 1.73% 6-1 @ 1.22% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.14% Total : 79.06% | 1-1 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 3.43% 2-2 @ 3.01% Other @ 0.7% Total : 13.57% | 0-1 @ 2.41% 1-2 @ 2.25% Other @ 2.7% Total : 7.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |