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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Sassuolo logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Sassuolo

Bastoni (30'), N'Zola (45+3' pen.)
Ekdal (68')
Ekdal (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Frattesi (27'), Pinamonti (50')
Marco Ferrari (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Spezia
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Sassuolo

After a win and a loss from their opening two games, Spezia are set to draw a Serie A home game for the first time since December. Since then, four wins and seven defeats at the picturesque Picco have underlined their inconsistency, but Luca Gotti should make them a more resilient unit; Sassuolo still lack their former firepower up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawSassuolo
34.47% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 24.2% (0.034000000000002 0.03) 41.33% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.3% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (-0.177 -0.18)42.2% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (-0.177 -0.18)64.6% (0.178 0.18)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.133 -0.13)24.06% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.187 -0.19)58.34% (0.189 0.19)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)20.58% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)53.12% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 34.47%
    Sassuolo 41.33%
    Draw 24.19%
SpeziaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.06% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.47%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.83% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 41.33%

How you voted: Spezia vs Sassuolo

Spezia
19.3%
Draw
39.8%
Sassuolo
41.0%
83
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 5.45pm
Sassuolo
4-1
Spezia
Berardi (17' pen., 48'), Ayhan (78'), Scamacca (81')
Henrique (20'), Berardi (44')
Verde (36')
Kovalenko (15'), Maggiore (55'), Erlic (80')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Sassuolo
Manaj (35'), Gyasi (48')
Reca (1'), Maggiore (4'), Sala (26'), Hristov (90')
Raspadori (66', 79')
Frattesi (44'), Kiriakopoulos (74'), Berardi (85')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
Sassuolo
1-2
Spezia
Caputo (25')
De Zerbi (70'), Locatelli (79'), Ferrari (86')
Erlic (39'), Gyasi (78')
Bastoni (31'), Erlic (70'), Vignali (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 11.30am
Spezia
1-4
Sassuolo
Galabinov (30')
Sala (44'), Zoet (63')
Duricic (12'), Berardi (64' pen.), Defrel (66'), Caputo (76')
Duricic (45+4')
Aug 18, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010


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