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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Sassuolo logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Sassuolo

Bastoni (30'), N'Zola (45+3' pen.)
Ekdal (68')
Ekdal (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Frattesi (27'), Pinamonti (50')
Marco Ferrari (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Spezia
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Sassuolo

After a win and a loss from their opening two games, Spezia are set to draw a Serie A home game for the first time since December. Since then, four wins and seven defeats at the picturesque Picco have underlined their inconsistency, but Luca Gotti should make them a more resilient unit; Sassuolo still lack their former firepower up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawSassuolo
34.47% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 24.2% (0.034000000000002 0.03) 41.33% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.3% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (-0.177 -0.18)42.2% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (-0.177 -0.18)64.6% (0.178 0.18)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.133 -0.13)24.06% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.187 -0.19)58.34% (0.189 0.19)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)20.58% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)53.12% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 34.47%
    Sassuolo 41.33%
    Draw 24.19%
SpeziaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.06% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.47%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.83% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 41.33%

How you voted: Spezia vs Sassuolo

Spezia
19.3%
Draw
39.8%
Sassuolo
41.0%
83
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 5.45pm
Sassuolo
4-1
Spezia
Berardi (17' pen., 48'), Ayhan (78'), Scamacca (81')
Henrique (20'), Berardi (44')
Verde (36')
Kovalenko (15'), Maggiore (55'), Erlic (80')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Sassuolo
Manaj (35'), Gyasi (48')
Reca (1'), Maggiore (4'), Sala (26'), Hristov (90')
Raspadori (66', 79')
Frattesi (44'), Kiriakopoulos (74'), Berardi (85')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
Sassuolo
1-2
Spezia
Caputo (25')
De Zerbi (70'), Locatelli (79'), Ferrari (86')
Erlic (39'), Gyasi (78')
Bastoni (31'), Erlic (70'), Vignali (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 11.30am
Spezia
1-4
Sassuolo
Galabinov (30')
Sala (44'), Zoet (63')
Duricic (12'), Berardi (64' pen.), Defrel (66'), Caputo (76')
Duricic (45+4')
Aug 18, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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