Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan1 - 0Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-1 Inter Milan
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Inter Milan 2-2 Napoli
In their last 24 league games Inter have never drawn - posting 18 wins and six losses during that spell - but now would not be a bad time to start. Though they really need maximum points to start closing the gap to distant leaders Napoli, the visitors' potent attack cannot be kept quiet for a full 90 minutes and a point apiece will have to suffice. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
42.47% ( 0.58) | 22.73% ( -0.32) | 34.8% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 65.9% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.07% ( 1.54) | 34.93% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.09% ( 1.7) | 56.91% ( -1.7) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( 0.87) | 17.08% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.73% ( 1.51) | 47.26% ( -1.52) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( 0.57) | 20.52% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.98% ( 0.9) | 53.02% ( -0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
Inter Milan 42.47%
Napoli 34.8%
Draw 22.73%
| Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.35% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.8% |
How you voted: Inter Milan vs Napoli
Inter Milan
29.1%Draw
26.3%Napoli
44.6%213
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 5pm
Nov 21, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
3-2
Napoli
Calhanoglu (25' pen.), Perisic (44'), Martinez (61')
Inzaghi (24'), Calhanoglu (41'), Vidal (72'), Handanovic (84'), Dzeko (90+1')
Inzaghi (24'), Calhanoglu (41'), Vidal (72'), Handanovic (84'), Dzeko (90+1')
Apr 18, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Inter Milan
1-0
Napoli
Lukaku (73' pen.)
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')
Jul 28, 2020 8.45pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Napoli
Lozano (80')
Form Guide
