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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Salernitana

Spezia
1 - 1
Salernitana

FT(HT: 0-1)
Caldara (43' og.)
Coulibaly (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Spezia
Friday, March 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, March 18 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-1 Salernitana

Without Nzola, it is hard to find a reliable source of goals in the Spezia squad, and that could be costly in this vital encounter. Salernitana have plenty of talent in attack as well as Dia, with the likes of Antonio Candreva and Krzysztof Piatek also available, and that could be what gives them the edge in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawSalernitana
35.77%28.03%36.21%
Both teams to score 47.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65%58.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04%78.96%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94%31.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62%67.38%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22%30.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95%67.05%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 35.76%
    Salernitana 36.21%
    Draw 28.02%
SpeziaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.76%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 11.26%
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: Spezia vs Salernitana

Spezia
33.3%
Draw
26.7%
Salernitana
40.0%
30
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2pm
Feb 7, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
2-2
Spezia
Verdi (3', 16')
Mousset (30'), Fazio (53'), Radovanovic (90+1')
Manaj (12' pen.), Verde (30' pen.)
Amian (15'), Kiwior (88'), Nguiamba (90+4')
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
Spezia
2-1
Salernitana
Strelec (51'), Kovalenko (76')
Gyasi (62'), Manaj (90')
Simy (39')
Obi (53'), Coulibaly (60'), Ranieri (80')
Jul 31, 2020 8pm
Salernitana
1-2
Spezia
Gondo (30')
Di Tacchio (21'), Maistro (35'), Migliorini (59')
Maistro (62')
Mora (45+1'), N'Zola (90')
Maggiore (50'), Desjardins (90+5')
Dec 29, 2019 2pm
Spezia
2-1
Salernitana
Ragusa (5'), Gyasi (83')
Terzi (36'), Mastinu (68'), Maggiore (80')
Jallow (85')
Kiyine (28'), Billong (31'), Di Tacchio (89'), Karo (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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