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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Salernitana

Spezia
1 - 1
Salernitana

FT(HT: 0-1)
Caldara (43' og.)
Coulibaly (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Spezia
Friday, March 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, March 18 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-1 Salernitana

Without Nzola, it is hard to find a reliable source of goals in the Spezia squad, and that could be costly in this vital encounter. Salernitana have plenty of talent in attack as well as Dia, with the likes of Antonio Candreva and Krzysztof Piatek also available, and that could be what gives them the edge in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawSalernitana
35.77%28.03%36.21%
Both teams to score 47.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65%58.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04%78.96%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94%31.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62%67.38%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22%30.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95%67.05%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 35.76%
    Salernitana 36.21%
    Draw 28.02%
SpeziaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.76%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 11.26%
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: Spezia vs Salernitana

Spezia
33.3%
Draw
26.7%
Salernitana
40.0%
30
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2pm
Feb 7, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
2-2
Spezia
Verdi (3', 16')
Mousset (30'), Fazio (53'), Radovanovic (90+1')
Manaj (12' pen.), Verde (30' pen.)
Amian (15'), Kiwior (88'), Nguiamba (90+4')
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
Spezia
2-1
Salernitana
Strelec (51'), Kovalenko (76')
Gyasi (62'), Manaj (90')
Simy (39')
Obi (53'), Coulibaly (60'), Ranieri (80')
Jul 31, 2020 8pm
Salernitana
1-2
Spezia
Gondo (30')
Di Tacchio (21'), Maistro (35'), Migliorini (59')
Maistro (62')
Mora (45+1'), N'Zola (90')
Maggiore (50'), Desjardins (90+5')
Dec 29, 2019 2pm
Spezia
2-1
Salernitana
Ragusa (5'), Gyasi (83')
Terzi (36'), Mastinu (68'), Maggiore (80')
Jallow (85')
Kiyine (28'), Billong (31'), Di Tacchio (89'), Karo (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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