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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Bologna logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Bologna

Bastoni (45+2'), Schouten (54' og.)
Holm (38'), Bastoni (56'), Sala (90+1'), Nikolaou (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arnautovic (7', 64')
Zirkzee (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Spezia
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Salernitana
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Bologna

Having produced just six goals between them so far, a high-scoring classic is unlikely to entertain the locals of La Spezia this weekend. Still over-reliant on Arnautovic, Bologna may once again fail to take maximum points, and their hosts should secure at least a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawBologna
43.29% (0.302 0.3) 26.86% (-0.262 -0.26) 29.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.73% (0.761 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (0.98399999999999 0.98)55.13% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (0.805 0.81)76.38% (-0.80500000000001 -0.81)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.59999999999999 0.6)25.25% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.82 0.82)60% (-0.819 -0.82)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (0.488 0.49)33.47% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (0.532 0.53)70.1% (-0.53 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 43.29%
    Bologna 29.85%
    Draw 26.86%
SpeziaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.231 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Spezia vs Bologna

Spezia
32.8%
Draw
39.3%
Bologna
27.9%
61
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2022 8pm
Bologna
2-1
Spezia
Arnautovic (40', 84')
Binks (19')
Manaj (11')
Manaj (22')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Bologna

Reca (38'), Salcedo (71'), N'Zola (82')
Arnautovic (83' pen.)
Arnautovic (88')
Apr 18, 2021 2pm
Bologna
4-1
Spezia
Orsolini (12' pen.), Barrow (18'), Svanberg (54', 60')
Soumaoro (39')
Ismajli (34')
Bastoni (36')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Spezia
2-2
Bologna
N'Zola (19', 63')
Marchizza (16'), Gyasi (37'), Agoume (49'), Chabot (85'), Provedel (90+1'), Erlic (90+3')
Dominguez (72'), Barrow (90+2')
Tomiyasu (25')
Nov 25, 2020 4.30pm
Bologna
2-4
Spezia
Barrow (13'), Orsolini (45+1')
Dominguez (44'), Medel (50'), Soriano (104'), Sansone (116')
Piccoli (5'), Farias (64'), Maggiore (100', 119')
Marchizza (27'), Agudelo (58'), Chabot (62'), Deiola (78'), Krapikas (89'), Mattiello (114'), Maggiore (114')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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