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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Bologna logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Bologna

Bastoni (45+2'), Schouten (54' og.)
Holm (38'), Bastoni (56'), Sala (90+1'), Nikolaou (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arnautovic (7', 64')
Zirkzee (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Spezia
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Salernitana
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Bologna

Having produced just six goals between them so far, a high-scoring classic is unlikely to entertain the locals of La Spezia this weekend. Still over-reliant on Arnautovic, Bologna may once again fail to take maximum points, and their hosts should secure at least a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawBologna
43.29% (0.302 0.3) 26.86% (-0.262 -0.26) 29.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.73% (0.761 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (0.98399999999999 0.98)55.13% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (0.805 0.81)76.38% (-0.80500000000001 -0.81)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.59999999999999 0.6)25.25% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.82 0.82)60% (-0.819 -0.82)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (0.488 0.49)33.47% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (0.532 0.53)70.1% (-0.53 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 43.29%
    Bologna 29.85%
    Draw 26.86%
SpeziaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.231 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Spezia vs Bologna

Spezia
32.8%
Draw
39.3%
Bologna
27.9%
61
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2022 8pm
Bologna
2-1
Spezia
Arnautovic (40', 84')
Binks (19')
Manaj (11')
Manaj (22')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Bologna

Reca (38'), Salcedo (71'), N'Zola (82')
Arnautovic (83' pen.)
Arnautovic (88')
Apr 18, 2021 2pm
Bologna
4-1
Spezia
Orsolini (12' pen.), Barrow (18'), Svanberg (54', 60')
Soumaoro (39')
Ismajli (34')
Bastoni (36')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Spezia
2-2
Bologna
N'Zola (19', 63')
Marchizza (16'), Gyasi (37'), Agoume (49'), Chabot (85'), Provedel (90+1'), Erlic (90+3')
Dominguez (72'), Barrow (90+2')
Tomiyasu (25')
Nov 25, 2020 4.30pm
Bologna
2-4
Spezia
Barrow (13'), Orsolini (45+1')
Dominguez (44'), Medel (50'), Soriano (104'), Sansone (116')
Piccoli (5'), Farias (64'), Maggiore (100', 119')
Marchizza (27'), Agudelo (58'), Chabot (62'), Deiola (78'), Krapikas (89'), Mattiello (114'), Maggiore (114')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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