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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Benfica

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 0
Benfica

Catamo (29')
Reis (59'), Israel (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Otamendi (34'), Bah (58'), Araujo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Estoril
Monday, December 23 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Benfica

Games between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica have often served up fireworks and we anticipate another action-packed contest at the Estadio Jose Alvalade with plenty of goalmouth action. As Aguias head into the weekend as the more in-form side, and we predict that they will heap more misery on the out-of-sorts hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
42.75% (0.0040000000000049 0) 24.97%32.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61%46.39% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.67% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.7% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.14% (0.0049999999999955 0)54.86% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)62.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 42.75%
    Benfica 32.28%
    Draw 24.96%
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.75%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.28%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica

Sporting Lisbon
23.0%
Draw
17.6%
Benfica
59.5%
74
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Catamo (1', 90+1')
Catamo (4'), Santos (5'), Hjulmand (27'), Paulinho (90+6')
Bah (45+3')
Otamendi (27'), Neres (39'), Bah (45+1'), Tengstedt (74'), Aursnes (86'), Silva (90+9')
Aursnes (90+8')
Apr 2, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Benfica
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Otamendi (52'), Silva (64')
di Maria (45+3'), Schmidt (90+7')
Hjulmand (47'), Paulinho (55')
Inacio (49'), Morita (72'), Israel (77'), Edwards (90+2')
Feb 29, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Goncalves (9'), Gyokeres (54')
Hjulmand (33'), Paulinho (41')
Aursnes (68')
Schmidt (0'), Otamendi (31'), di Maria (74'), Kokcu (75'), Silva (78')
Nov 12, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Benfica
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Neves (90+4'), Tengstedt (90+7')
Mario (66'), Neves (75')
Gyokeres (45')
Coates (15'), Inacio (22'), Edwards (57'), Hjulmand (69'), Neto (90+11')
Inacio (51')
May 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Sporting Lisbon
2-2
Benfica
Trincao (39'), Diomande (44')
Diomande (48'), Coates (88')
Aursnes (71'), Neves (90+4')
Silva (40'), Chiquinho (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto17131340112940
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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