Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
42.75% ( 0) | 24.97% | 32.28% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.61% | 46.39% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.32% ( 0) | 68.67% ( -0) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% ( 0) | 21.7% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.14% ( 0) | 54.86% ( -0.01) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.63% ( -0) | 27.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.16% ( -0) | 62.84% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.75% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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