Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
14.56% ( -0.06) | 21.12% ( -0.13) | 64.31% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 46.77% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.27% ( 0.38) | 48.72% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.17% ( 0.34) | 70.83% ( -0.34) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.66% ( 0.13) | 45.33% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.8% ( 0.11) | 81.19% ( -0.11) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.55% ( 0.18) | 14.44% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.61% ( 0.35) | 42.38% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 14.56% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.12% | 0-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 12.25% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.83% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 64.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |