Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
