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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 4
Caernarfon

Owen (4'), Lewis (26')
Bradford (40'), Jones (66')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Clarke (6', 19'), Davies (71', 90+2')
Lloyd (34')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 6-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-4 Connah's Quay
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
39.44% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 24.38% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 36.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.94% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (0.202 0.2)42.81% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (0.201 0.2)65.21% (-0.2 -0.2)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.104 0.1)21.74% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (0.157 0.16)54.92% (-0.156 -0.16)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.099999999999994 0.1)23.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (0.143 0.14)57.4% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 39.44%
    Caernarfon Town 36.18%
    Draw 24.38%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.44%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.96% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 36.18%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
3-2
Caernarfon
Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (41')
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aberystwyth
2-1
Caernarfon
Arnison (8'), Flint (77')
Alun (89')
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Caernarfon
2-1
Aberystwyth
O'Rourke (20'), Marsh-Hughes (73')
Litchfield (81')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
1-0
Aberystwyth
Morris (71' pen.)
Harrison (28')

Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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