Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Apr 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon1 - 0Aberystwyth
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Newtown AFC | 32 | 15 | 51 |
5 | Caernarfon Town | 32 | 6 | 49 |
6 | Flint Town United | 33 | -2 | 43 |
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Pen-y-Bont | 33 | -8 | 41 |
9 | Aberystwyth Town | 32 | -7 | 40 |
10 | Haverfordwest County | 32 | -1 | 38 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
70.96% | 18.2% | 10.84% |
Both teams to score 45.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.09% | 44.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.73% | 67.27% |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.63% | 11.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.9% | 36.1% |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.96% | 49.04% |