MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:12:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Jan 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 0
Colwyn Bay

Walsh (46')
Thorn (45+4')
Cadwallader (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Creamer (22')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, December 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Colwyn Bay
Sunday, December 31 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.45%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawColwyn Bay
30.79% (-1.314 -1.31) 22.33% (0.193 0.19) 46.88% (1.114 1.11)
Both teams to score 65.68% (-1.484 -1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.48% (-1.65 -1.65)34.51% (1.643 1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.55% (-1.878 -1.88)56.45% (1.872 1.87)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (-1.535 -1.54)22.49% (1.529 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (-2.34 -2.34)56.04% (2.335 2.33)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.236 -0.24)15.26% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.05% (-0.444 -0.44)43.95% (0.437 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 30.79%
    Colwyn Bay 46.88%
    Draw 22.33%
Aberystwyth TownDrawColwyn Bay
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.199 0.2)
2-0 @ 3.82% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 30.79%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.298 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.282 0.28)
3-3 @ 2.1% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.209 0.21)
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.482 0.48)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.408 0.41)
1-3 @ 5.67% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 4.23% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.227 0.23)
1-4 @ 2.67% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.093 0.09)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.88%

How you voted: Aberystwyth vs Colwyn Bay

Aberystwyth Town
25.0%
Draw
41.7%
Colwyn Bay
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Colwyn Bay
3-1
Aberystwyth
Creamer (13'), Jones (27'), Akpan (49')
Akpan (71'), Rushton (83')
Lewis (45+1')
Thorn (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints25200569274260
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont25156443222151
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest25129433141945
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2511593734338
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2511593938138
6Bala TownBala Town2571173229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2510783841-337
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2585123429529
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2582153251-1926
4Briton Ferry2574143850-1225
5Newtown AFCNewtown2556142750-2321
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2552182259-3717
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!