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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
3 - 1
Aberystwyth

Creamer (13'), Jones (27'), Akpan (49')
Akpan (71'), Rushton (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lewis (45+1')
Thorn (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, September 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-4 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 64.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colwyn Bay would win this match.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawAberystwyth Town
64.89% (0.24799999999999 0.25) 19.08% (-0.041 -0.04) 16.02% (-0.205 -0.21)
Both teams to score 57.28% (-0.347 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.38% (-0.221 -0.22)36.61% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.23% (-0.242 -0.24)58.77% (0.244 0.24)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)10.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.42% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.387 -0.39)35.92% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31% (-0.398 -0.4)72.69% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 64.89%
    Aberystwyth Town 16.02%
    Draw 19.08%
Colwyn BayDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.104 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.17% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.12%
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.8% (0.019 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 64.89%
1-1 @ 8.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.08%
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 16.02%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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