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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
May 15, 2021 at 12pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
3 - 2
Caernarfon

Cotterill (57' pen.), Kavanagh (62'), Cotterill (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (45', 90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
44.26%24.21%31.53%
Both teams to score 59.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.78%43.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.38%65.62%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29%51.71%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7%26.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.58%61.42%
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 44.26%
    Caernarfon Town 31.53%
    Draw 24.21%
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.84%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-1 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 31.53%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Caernarfon
0-1
Barry

Cleworth (5'), Kenny (27'), Thomas (54'), Edwards (61'), Jones (82')
Hutson (90+2')
McDonald (53'), McLaggon (77')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Caernarfon
2-0
Barry
Kenny (81'), Jones (86')
Thomas (17'), Mendes (62'), Edwards (68'), Kenny (90+2')

Cooper (29')
Cooper (53')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Barry
3-1
Caernarfon
McLaggon (38', 62'), McDonald (55')
Cummings (10'), Green (45'), Cotterill (45+1')
Hayes (66')
(33')
Apr 11, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
P-P
Barry
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Barry
1-1
Caernarfon
Touray (63')
Thomas (65')
(69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon219483235-331
6Bala TownBala Town2161142621529
7Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
11Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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