Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.