Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Druids had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Druids win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.