MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:48:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 3
New Saints

Davies (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Clark (58'), Williams (63'), Brobbel (76')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, September 23 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-5 New Saints
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 76.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 8.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.7%) and 0-1 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
8.21% (0.022 0.02) 14.93% (-0.035 -0.04) 76.85% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.87% (0.24 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (0.251 0.25)38.1% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.63% (0.267 0.27)60.37% (-0.269 -0.27)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.96% (0.227 0.23)50.04% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.31% (0.155 0.15)84.68% (-0.157 -0.16)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.81% (0.061000000000007 0.06)8.19% (-0.0619 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.31% (0.152 0.15)28.68% (-0.155 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 8.21%
    The New Saints 76.85%
    Draw 14.93%
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 2.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-1 @ 2.46% (0.01 0.01)
2-0 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 8.21%
1-1 @ 7.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.08% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 14.93%
0-2 @ 12.83% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 10.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 10.25% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 7.41% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 6.69%
1-4 @ 4.64% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-5 @ 3.35% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.026 0.03)
1-5 @ 2.32% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.021 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 76.85%

Head to Head
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
0-1
New Saints
McManus (72')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
New Saints
3-0
Caernarfon
Brobbel (16'), Wilson (42'), Dafydd (90+3')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
3-1
Caernarfon
McManus (2', 88'), Brobbel (42')
Dafydd (90+4')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Caernarfon
0-4
New Saints

Beaumont (26')
McManus (28'), Brobbel (56'), Cieslewicz (80'), Williams (86')
Marriott (61')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
5-3
Caernarfon
Davies (6'), McManus (24'), Bradford (30'), Hudson (75'), Baker (90+4')
Redmond (64'), McManus (67'), Routledge (88')
Gosset (19'), Thomas (68'), G (86')
Donohue (24'), Thomas (60'), Cartwright (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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