MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 05:07:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 0
Pontypridd

Mooney (84')
Cartwright (45+2'), Bradley (86'), Davies (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shepherd (25'), Margetson (69'), Leo Martins (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-0 Bala Town
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
24.39% (-1.002 -1) 24.15% (-0.215 -0.22) 51.46% (1.216 1.22)
Both teams to score 53.86% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.27% (0.048000000000002 0.05)47.73% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.08% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.92% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (-0.819 -0.82)33.88% (0.817 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (-0.895 -0.9)70.55% (0.89399999999999 0.89)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.497 0.5)18.54% (-0.499 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.21% (0.832 0.83)49.79% (-0.834 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 24.39%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 51.45%
    Draw 24.15%
Caernarfon TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 6.8% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.2% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-0 @ 3.68% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.39%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 10.58% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.92% (0.26 0.26)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 5.01% (0.223 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.11% (0.125 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 51.45%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
1-2
Pontypridd
Wynne (59')
Simpson (50' og.), Cummings (72')
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Pontypridd
1-0
Caernarfon
Margetson (39')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Pontypridd
3-1
Caernarfon
Evans (37'), Wright (74'), Williams (90+5')
Thomas (60')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
2-0
Pontypridd
Bradley (62'), Faux (65')
Cartwright (33'), Gosset (68')

Woodiwiss (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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