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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Jan 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 0
Connah's Quay


Sears (88'), Roberts (90+3')
FT

Malkin (34')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 6-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, December 30 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Flint Town 0-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
26.09% (0.133 0.13) 24.92% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 48.98% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.09% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46% (0.033000000000001 0.03)49.54% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43% (0.029999999999998 0.03)71.56% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (0.127 0.13)33.43% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94% (0.138 0.14)70.06% (-0.137 -0.14)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)20.25% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.41% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)52.59% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 26.09%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 48.98%
    Draw 24.92%
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.49% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.37% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 26.09%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 10.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 48.98%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Morris (27' pen.), Wilde (43'), Hayes (65')
Wilde (35')
Williams (82')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
1-0
Connah's Quay
Mwandwe (38')
Ismail (29')

Donohue (38')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-4
Newtown

Edwards (23'), Gosset (72')
Rushton (34'), Williams (48', 51'), Breese (90+4')
Mwandwe (9')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Newtown
0-2
Connah's Quay

Sears (20'), Williams (35'), Walker (44'), Roberts (83'), Hughes (89')
Sears (37')
Morris (25' pen.), Curran (69')
Curran (22'), Poole (63')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-2
Newtown

Eardley (43'), Morris (61'), Holmes (90')
Sutton (25'), Holmes (45+1' og.)
Williams (56'), Mwandwe (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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