Connah's Quay

3 - 1

Newtown

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.