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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2022 at 12.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 2
Connah's Quay


Sears (20'), Williams (35'), Walker (44'), Roberts (83'), Hughes (89')
Sears (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morris (25' pen.), Curran (69')
Curran (22'), Poole (63')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
30.93%25.4%43.67%
Both teams to score 54.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23%48.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12%70.87%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56%65.43%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71%22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26%55.74%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 30.93%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 43.67%
    Draw 25.39%
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-1 @ 7.36%
2-0 @ 4.91%
3-1 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 2%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.93%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.39%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43.67%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Connah's Quay
0-2
Newtown

Eardley (43'), Morris (61'), Holmes (90')
Sutton (25'), Holmes (45+1' og.)
Williams (56'), Mwandwe (76')
Apr 2, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
Newtown
1-5
Connah's Quay
Breese (3')
Mills-Evans (69')
Curran (20'), Danns (64'), Morris (76' pen.), Wilde (85'), Insall (90')
Wilde (55'), Morris (67')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Connah's Quay
2-1
Newtown
Horan (28'), Wilde (59')
(19')
Insall (24')
Fletcher (15')
(61')
Apr 25, 2020 2.30pm
Mar 13, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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