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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
0 - 3
New Saints


Davies (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clark (56'), Brobbel (68'), Smith (90+1')
Clark (43'), Robles (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
17.88%21.16%60.96%
Both teams to score 53.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14%42.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74%65.26%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47%37.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69%74.31%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41%13.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.29%40.71%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 17.88%
    The New Saints 60.94%
    Draw 21.16%
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 5%
2-1 @ 4.89%
2-0 @ 2.45%
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 17.88%
1-1 @ 9.98%
0-0 @ 5.1%
2-2 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.16%
0-1 @ 10.17%
0-2 @ 10.15%
1-2 @ 9.96%
0-3 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-4 @ 3.37%
1-4 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 3.25%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-5 @ 1.35%
1-5 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 60.94%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Robles (48')
Brobbel (44'), Cieslewicz (45+3')

Evans (57'), Wood (68')
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
New Saints
2-1
Pen-y-Bont
Harrington (18'), Jefferies (28' og.)
Ahmun (7')
Oct 10, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
0-4
New Saints

Wood (48'), Dalton (57'), Harling (57'), Georgievsky (68'), (76')
Wood (75'), Georgievsky (81')
Robles (5', 19'), Draper (47' pen., 53')
Routledge (57'), Redmond (57'), (75')
Oct 19, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Pen-y-Bont
2-3
New Saints
Griffiths (20'), Owen (72' pen.)
Saddler (8'), Hutson (61'), Griffiths (66'), Warlow (90')
Draper (7'), Ebbe (45'), Byrne (86')
Brobbel (57'), Hudson (88'), Nembhard (91')
Aug 31, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
New Saints
2-1
Pen-y-Bont
Edwards (58'), Cieslewicz (71')
Routledge (70')
Owen (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
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7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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