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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
0 - 3
New Saints


Davies (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clark (56'), Brobbel (68'), Smith (90+1')
Clark (43'), Robles (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
17.88%21.16%60.96%
Both teams to score 53.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14%42.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74%65.26%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47%37.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69%74.31%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41%13.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.29%40.71%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 17.88%
    The New Saints 60.94%
    Draw 21.16%
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 5%
2-1 @ 4.89%
2-0 @ 2.45%
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 17.88%
1-1 @ 9.98%
0-0 @ 5.1%
2-2 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.16%
0-1 @ 10.17%
0-2 @ 10.15%
1-2 @ 9.96%
0-3 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-4 @ 3.37%
1-4 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 3.25%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-5 @ 1.35%
1-5 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 60.94%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Robles (48')
Brobbel (44'), Cieslewicz (45+3')

Evans (57'), Wood (68')
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
New Saints
2-1
Pen-y-Bont
Harrington (18'), Jefferies (28' og.)
Ahmun (7')
Oct 10, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
0-4
New Saints

Wood (48'), Dalton (57'), Harling (57'), Georgievsky (68'), (76')
Wood (75'), Georgievsky (81')
Robles (5', 19'), Draper (47' pen., 53')
Routledge (57'), Redmond (57'), (75')
Oct 19, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Pen-y-Bont
2-3
New Saints
Griffiths (20'), Owen (72' pen.)
Saddler (8'), Hutson (61'), Griffiths (66'), Warlow (90')
Draper (7'), Ebbe (45'), Byrne (86')
Brobbel (57'), Hudson (88'), Nembhard (91')
Aug 31, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
New Saints
2-1
Pen-y-Bont
Edwards (58'), Cieslewicz (71')
Routledge (70')
Owen (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon219483235-331
6Bala TownBala Town2161142621529
7Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
11Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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