World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 17, 2021 at 2.05am UK
BMO Field
Canada2 - 1Mexico
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Canada in this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Mexico |
| 46.59% | 24.21% | 29.19% |
| Both teams to score 57.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
