World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Ecuadorvs.Venezuela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colombia 0-1 Ecuador
Tuesday, November 19 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, November 19 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: USA 3-1 Venezuela
Saturday, January 18 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, January 18 at 8pm in International Friendlies
We say: Ecuador 2-1 Venezuela
Venezuela may have got the better of Ecuador in last year's Copa America, but that contest took place in a neutral venue in the United States. Their opponents will have home advantage for Friday's contest, and we think that could be crucial given the fact that the visitors have lost 13 of their last 15 away qualifiers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ecuador win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw has a probability of 21.6% and a win for Venezuela has a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.4%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Venezuela win it is 0-1 (5.42%).
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Venezuela |
65.05% ( -0.3) | 21.61% ( 0.2) | 13.34% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 42.36% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( -0.51) | 53% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( -0.44) | 74.59% ( 0.44) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( -0.27) | 15.61% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.39% ( -0.51) | 44.61% ( 0.51) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.2% ( -0.14) | 49.8% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.48% ( -0.1) | 84.52% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Ecuador 65.04%
Venezuela 13.34%
Draw 21.6%
| Ecuador | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 14.43% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 13.4% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 65.04% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.6% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 13.34% |
Who will win Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Venezuela?
Ecuador
81.0%Draw
4.8%Venezuela
14.3%21
Head to Head
Jun 22, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-2
Venezuela
Nov 16, 2023 10pm
Nov 11, 2021 9pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-0
Venezuela
Oct 10, 2021 9.30pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
2-1
Ecuador
Machis (45+1'), Bello (64')
Rincon (45+4'), Moreno (87'), Aristeguieta (90+4'), Andres Martinez (90+5')
Rincon (45+4'), Moreno (87'), Aristeguieta (90+4'), Andres Martinez (90+5')
