World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Colombia0 - 1Ecuador
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Uruguay 3-2 Colombia
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 4-0 Bolivia
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Colombia 1-1 Ecuador
Ecuador are a very good outfit with a brilliant defence, and we are expecting this to be a tough match for Colombia. It would not be a shock to see a victory either way, but we believe that the two sides will play out a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Ecuador |
59.89% ( -3.05) | 24.29% ( 1.22) | 15.82% ( 1.83) |
| Both teams to score 40.83% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
