World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Uruguay0 - 0Ecuador
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Peru 1-0 Uruguay
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Paraguay
Thursday, October 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, October 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Uruguay 0-0 Ecuador
Uruguay are the joint-top scorers in qualifying with 13, but have not scored in their last three games, and against a mean Ecuador defence, they could struggle once again. Clean sheets are guiding Ecuador through this qualifying campaign, as the 0-0 last week was the sixth straight qualifier involving them that has seen one goal or less scored, and Uruguay's recent attacking woes suggests this could go the same way. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.37%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Ecuador |
63.84% ( -1.14) | 23.26% ( 0.36) | 12.9% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 37.17% ( 1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.48% ( 0.22) | 59.52% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.13% ( 0.17) | 79.87% ( -0.17) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( -0.33) | 18.34% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.55% ( -0.56) | 49.45% ( 0.56) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.52% ( 1.46) | 54.48% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.43% ( 0.86) | 87.57% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
Uruguay 63.83%
Ecuador 12.9%
Draw 23.26%
| Uruguay | Draw | Ecuador |
| 1-0 @ 16.94% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 14.37% ( -0.43)2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.53% Total : 63.83% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.14)Other @ 1.86% Total : 12.9% |
How you voted: Uruguay vs Ecuador
Uruguay
60.5%Draw
23.3%Ecuador
16.3%86
