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World Cup
Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Ecuador national football team

Uruguay
0 - 0
Ecuador


Fonseca (84')
FT

Caicedo (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Peru 1-0 Uruguay
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Paraguay
Thursday, October 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Uruguay 0-0 Ecuador

 Uruguay are the joint-top scorers in qualifying with 13, but have not scored in their last three games, and against a mean Ecuador defence, they could struggle once again. Clean sheets are guiding Ecuador through this qualifying campaign, as the 0-0 last week was the sixth straight qualifier involving them that has seen one goal or less scored, and Uruguay's recent attacking woes suggests this could go the same way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.37%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
UruguayDrawEcuador
63.84% (-1.138 -1.14) 23.26% (0.357 0.36) 12.9% (0.78 0.78)
Both teams to score 37.17% (1.045 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (0.22 0.22)59.52% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (0.169 0.17)79.87% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (-0.328 -0.33)18.34% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55% (-0.559 -0.56)49.45% (0.558 0.56)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.52% (1.456 1.46)54.48% (-1.456 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.43% (0.864 0.86)87.57% (-0.86500000000001 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 63.83%
    Ecuador 12.9%
    Draw 23.26%
UruguayDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 16.94% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-0 @ 14.37% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.129 0.13)
3-0 @ 8.12% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 63.83%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 2.65% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.214 0.21)
1-2 @ 3.13% (0.211 0.21)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 12.9%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Ecuador

Uruguay
60.5%
Draw
23.3%
Ecuador
16.3%
86
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2023 10pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
2-1
Uruguay
Torres (45+5', 61')
Preciado (78'), Gruezo (90+7')
Canobbio (38')
de la Cruz (42'), Olivera (64'), Vina (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 9, 2021 11.30pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
1-0
Ecuador
Pereiro (90+2')
Bentancur (66'), Nandez (76')

Castillo (59')
> Preview
Oct 13, 2020 10pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
4-2
Uruguay
Mena (14'), Estrada (45+3', 52'), Plata (75')
Gruezo (38'), Palacios (83')
Suarez (83' pen., 90+5')
Jun 16, 2019 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
4-0
Ecuador
Lodeiro (6'), Cavani (33'), Suarez (44'), Mina (78' og.)
Lodeiro (14'), Gimenez (63')

Quinteros (24')
rhs 2.0
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